街頭抗議未影響香港消費者信心

Hong Kongers are feeling upbeat as a tumultuous year for the territory draws to a close, according to a new consumer confidence index launched today.

今日發佈的一項消費者信心指數顯示，香港人在即將告別動盪的一年之際，仍然感覺十分樂觀。

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Hong Kong Consumer Confidence Index rose 2.7 points to 131.2 in November, reversing a drop in October during sweeping pro-democracy protests.

11月，澳新-羅伊•摩根香港消費者信心指數(ANZ-Roy Morgan Hong Kong Consumer Confidence Index)上升了2.7點，達到131.2點，逆轉了10月民主抗議活動衝擊全港期間的跌勢。

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The survey said 38 per cent of respondents say their families are better off financially than the same period last year, while 9 per cent say they are worse off - the lowest level since March according to the readings, which were kept private before the survey's first release. Almost half of the 1,000 people interviewed believe Hong Kong's relatively good financial situation will remain in the next year; 15 per cent think the economy will get worse.

在調查中，38%的回覆者表示他們的家庭的財務狀況比去年同期有所改善。表示境況惡化的人比例只有9%，根據調查數據顯示，這是3月以來的最低比例。在被調查的1000人中，近半數人相信香港明年依然會保持相對良好的財政形勢，認爲經濟會惡化的人則佔15%。

Although the recent launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong stock connect scheme did not wow, ANZ seems to take note of exhortations by Charles Li, chief executive of the Hong Kong stock exchange, to give it time:“After the negative impact of street protests on community sentiment, the launch of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect seems to have provided a timely reassurance in the outlook of households– particularly regarding their personal finances.”

雖然最近推出的滬港通計劃並未取得輝煌成功，澳新銀行(ANZ)似乎注意到了港交所首席執行官李小加讓人們再等一段時間的告誡。該行表示：“在街頭抗議活動對香港社會情緒的負面影響消除之後，滬港通的推出似乎爲香港家庭的前景——尤其是個人財務前景——提供了及時保證。”

Nielsen already has a consumer confidence index for Hong Kong, but it's quarterly and doesn't tend to move markets. ANZ said it launched its monthly index to get a better sense of sentiment trends:

此前，尼爾森(Nielsen)曾爲香港設計了一種消費者信心指數，不過，該指數是每季度發佈一次，跟不上不斷變化的市場。澳新銀行表示，該行推出每月發佈一次的消費者信心指數，是爲了能夠更好的把握市場情緒的變化。

"Given that private consumption represents two thirds of Hong Kong's GDP, we need to gauge consumer confidence closely," says Raymond Yeung, senior economist at ANZ.

澳新銀行資深經濟學家楊宇霆(Raymond Yeung)表示：“考慮到香港GDP的三分之二來自私人消費，我們必須十分密切地考察消費者信心。”